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All posts by Investor Arai

Aug 26th 2007, 18:20
Investor Arai
Tnw Designs and Real Estate » Price of stock is Still so Low get in while you can!!!
TNW, BEST COMPANY EVER!
I Agre Cornellius, i have 100,000 shares for now.
My plan is to reach 400,000 shares (10% of the company) in some months, this company really rocks!

Good luck too!

Aug 26th 2007, 18:32
Investor Arai
General Investment Discussion » Good investment! SLMS
Re: Good investment! SLMS
I dont know too much that company, but looking the historical data, it started from 0.2 linden per share and now is over 2,
10 times the initial price.
Be careful:)
Aug 27th 2007, 06:11
Investor Arai
General Investment Discussion » Technical Analisys
Re: Technical Analisys
Interesting experiment Enky, i use Tradestation for my trading but i dont know how to convert csv format in xpo tradestation format.
Contact me in sl, maybe you can upload an image and send it to me.
Catch you later!
Aug 28th 2007, 07:42
Investor Arai
General Investment Discussion » Technical Analisys
Re: Technical Analisys
Nice job Enky, so it seems possible with some stocks to use rsi, money flow, moving averages crossover and others indicators to improve the timing.
Could you please post for example the money flow raw data of some stocks? I'm curious to see.
Aug 29th 2007, 02:17
Investor Arai
General Investment Discussion » Technical Analisys
Re: Technical Analisys
Nice job Enky,i tried to import your data with excel and worked perfectly, it's very nice to observe how well the money flow indicator helped to find tops and bottoms on AIG.
Aug 30th 2007, 05:13
Investor Arai
Tnw Designs and Real Estate » How many people even read this forum. Put your name here!
Re: How many people even read this forum. Put your name here!
I check the forum often!
Cya
Aug 30th 2007, 12:16
Investor Arai
WNB Italian Lands » preliminar analisys
preliminar analisys
ITA basic financial data from official IPO prospectus

Cash on hand
100000
Land owned
70000
Tangible Assets
2500000.00
Monthly Income
400000
Monthly Expenses
150000

Asks 2 million and a half linden
At the end of the ipo will capitalize 10 million

The capitalization/assets ratio is 4, not exceptional.
As the asset consists in cash and holdings a low rate means that the founders of the company shares real value and not only words, a good rate is under 3, average is around 5 or 6.
The problem is that they valued 70000 sqm of land 2,5 millions linden, that is more then 30 linden per squared meter, actual average price of second life are around 7.5 linden per squared meter, i think that the declared assets are a bit inflated.

Average monthly net profit is 250000 (400K income - 150K expenses) or 3 million per year.
We can consider 3 year of profit to calcualte an average fair price of the stocks, so we have 2.5 millions linden of asset plus 9 million linden of profit, so we have:
Assets 2.5mln
3 years of income 9 mln
Cash 100k
Total is 11.6 mln / 10 million share = 1.16 Linden per share

What you are paying now in that stock include assets and around 3 years of profit (maybe less because i dont have considered GROWTH)

I ask to the management of the company to explain better the real value of the company because looking just at the prospectus i'm not so convinced to invest lot of money in a company that already discount in the ipo price 2 or 3 years of profit.

I advise to reduce the total float from 10 down to 6 or 7 millions to increase value for the shareholders.

Thank You
Aug 31st 2007, 10:22
Investor Arai
SL Capital Exchange Archive » Will there be a dividend?
Re: Will there be a dividend?
You missed something, there is a big debt that has to be paid to allenvest investment group so the dividends cant be so high this time.
Sep 18th 2007, 02:56
Investor Arai
Brautigan & Tuck Holdings Public Forum » Commentary on the Financials?
Re: Commentary on the Financials?
Could be a joke, personally i strongly agree with Gedeon Zehetbauer, capex financial template is the best i've seen so far.

For bnt financials? i agree again with Gedeon Zehetbauer, bnt core business is performing very bad, i've a small amount of shares of bnt and i've lost more then 30% in 10 days, not bad:)

Market never lie, if the stock goes down, it goes down, no excuses.

Sep 18th 2007, 03:31
Investor Arai
Tnw Designs and Real Estate » Why the loss of faith?
Re: Why the loss of faith?
1.75 is a low target, if you the patience to wait 1 or 2 years this stock will reach 3 or 3.5 lindens per share.
Fundamentals of the company are very good and i cant understand why now there are lot of investors selling huge amount of shares at 1.2 lindens.
I'm out of money at the moment otherwise i would have taken out those shares.




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